Match Analysis

TSG HoffenheimvsSK Sturm Graz

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
23%
28%
TSG Hoffenheim winDrawSK Sturm Graz win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.00
1.95Avg goals scored0.41
1.55Avg goals conceded1.09
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

TSG Hoffenheim xG

Expected goals

1.3

SK Sturm Graz xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–0

8%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

0–1

6%

Home

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

SK Sturm Graz

SK Sturm Graz

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

0.4 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win TSG Hoffenheim vs SK Sturm Graz?

TSG Hoffenheim is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is TSG Hoffenheim's current form?

TSG Hoffenheim have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

TSG Hoffenheim Win49%
Draw23%
SK Sturm Graz Win28%
BTTS61%
Over 2.560%