Match Analysis

Union St.-GilloisevsCeltic

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

67%
17%
16%
Union St.-Gilloise winDrawCeltic win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.40
2.68Avg goals scored1.00
0.36Avg goals conceded2.96
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Union St.-Gilloise xG

Expected goals

1.2

Celtic xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

2–0

8%

3–1

8%

1–1

7%

1–0

6%

2–2

6%

Home

Union St.-Gilloise

Union St.-Gilloise

DWDDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.7 / 0.4

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Celtic

Celtic

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Union St.-Gilloise vs Celtic?

Union St.-Gilloise is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Union St.-Gilloise's current form?

Union St.-Gilloise have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Union St.-Gilloise Win67%
Draw17%
Celtic Win16%
BTTS64%
Over 2.571%