Match Analysis

Union St.-GilloisevsHapoel Be'er

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

66%
18%
16%
Union St.-Gilloise winDrawHapoel Be'er win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.00
2.68Avg goals scored0.36
0.36Avg goals conceded2.37
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Union St.-Gilloise xG

Expected goals

1

Hapoel Be'er xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

8%

1–1

8%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Union St.-Gilloise

Union St.-Gilloise

DWDDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.7 / 0.4

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Hapoel Be'er

Hapoel Be'er

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.4 / 2.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Union St.-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er?

Union St.-Gilloise is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Union St.-Gilloise's current form?

Union St.-Gilloise have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Union St.-Gilloise Win66%
Draw18%
Hapoel Be'er Win16%
BTTS57%
Over 2.564%