Match Analysis

Union St.-GilloisevsLech Poznan

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

68%
17%
15%
Union St.-Gilloise winDrawLech Poznan win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.00
2.68Avg goals scored0.41
0.36Avg goals conceded2.77
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Union St.-Gilloise xG

Expected goals

1.1

Lech Poznan xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

3–1

8%

1–0

7%

3–0

7%

Home

Union St.-Gilloise

Union St.-Gilloise

DWDDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.7 / 0.4

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan

DLLDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.4 / 2.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Union St.-Gilloise vs Lech Poznan?

Union St.-Gilloise is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Union St.-Gilloise's current form?

Union St.-Gilloise have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Union St.-Gilloise Win68%
Draw17%
Lech Poznan Win15%
BTTS61%
Over 2.570%