Union St.-Gilloisevs
Lech Poznan
UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.5
Union St.-Gilloise xG
Expected goals
1.1
Lech Poznan xG
61%
Both Teams to Score
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
9%
2–1
9%
1–1
8%
3–1
8%
1–0
7%
3–0
7%
Home
Union St.-Gilloise
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.7 / 0.4
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Away
Lech Poznan
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.4 / 2.8
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Union St.-Gilloise vs Lech Poznan?
Union St.-Gilloise is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Union St.-Gilloise's current form?
Union St.-Gilloise have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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