Match Analysis

Union St.-GilloisevsReal Sociedad

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
22%
33%
Union St.-Gilloise winDrawReal Sociedad win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.20
2.68Avg goals scored3.04
0.36Avg goals conceded0.82
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Union St.-Gilloise xG

Expected goals

1.6

Real Sociedad xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

0–1

5%

Home

Union St.-Gilloise

Union St.-Gilloise

DWDDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.7 / 0.4

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

DWWDW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

3.0 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Union St.-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?

Union St.-Gilloise is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Union St.-Gilloise's current form?

Union St.-Gilloise have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Union St.-Gilloise Win45%
Draw22%
Real Sociedad Win33%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%