Match Analysis

Viktoria PlzenvsJagiellonia Bialystok

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
23%
38%
Viktoria Plzen winDrawJagiellonia Bialystok win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.00
0.77Avg goals scored1.32
2.23Avg goals conceded2.05
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Viktoria Plzen xG

Expected goals

1.6

Jagiellonia Bialystok xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–0

6%

Home

Viktoria Plzen

Viktoria Plzen

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.8 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Jagiellonia Bialystok

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Viktoria Plzen vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Viktoria Plzen is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Viktoria Plzen's current form?

Viktoria Plzen have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Viktoria Plzen Win39%
Draw23%
Jagiellonia Bialystok Win38%
BTTS65%
Over 2.564%