Argentinavs
Uruguay
FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.5
Argentina xG
Expected goals
1.5
Uruguay xG
71%
Both Teams to Score
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
9%
1–1
7%
3–1
7%
2–0
6%
2–2
6%
1–0
5%
Home
Argentina
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
4.6 / 0.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Uruguay
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
3.8 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Argentina vs Uruguay?
Argentina is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Argentina's current form?
Argentina have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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