Match Analysis

BotswanavsMozambique

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
25%
42%
Botswana winDrawMozambique win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.40
0.00Avg goals scored2.00
2.00Avg goals conceded0.00
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Botswana xG

Expected goals

1.5

Mozambique xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–2

9%

1–0

8%

2–1

8%

0–2

7%

Home

Botswana

Botswana

LDDLL

PPG

0.40

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Mozambique

Mozambique

WWDLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Botswana vs Mozambique?

Mozambique is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Botswana's current form?

Botswana have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 1 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Botswana Win33%
Draw25%
Mozambique Win42%
BTTS57%
Over 2.553%