Match Analysis

CanadavsPeru

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
24%
20%
Canada winDrawPeru win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.40
0.98Avg goals scored0.47
0.36Avg goals conceded2.22
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Canada xG

Expected goals

0.9

Peru xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

1–1

11%

2–0

11%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Canada

Canada

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Peru

Peru

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.2

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Canada vs Peru?

Canada is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Canada's current form?

Canada have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Canada Win56%
Draw24%
Peru Win20%
BTTS49%
Over 2.548%