Match Analysis

ChilevsColombia

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
26%
36%
Chile winDrawColombia win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.00
1.39Avg goals scored1.02
1.61Avg goals conceded0.64
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Chile xG

Expected goals

1.3

Colombia xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Chile

Chile

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Colombia

Colombia

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.6

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Chile vs Colombia?

Chile is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Chile's current form?

Chile have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Chile Win38%
Draw26%
Colombia Win36%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%