Chilevs
Colombia
FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Chile xG
Expected goals
1.3
Colombia xG
55%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
0–1
9%
1–0
9%
2–1
9%
1–2
8%
0–0
7%
Home
Chile
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Colombia
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.6
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Chile vs Colombia?
Chile is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Chile's current form?
Chile have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from International Friendly