Chinavs
New Zealand
FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
China xG
Expected goals
1.9
New Zealand xG
62%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
1–2
10%
0–1
8%
0–2
7%
2–1
7%
1–3
6%
Home
China
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.7 / 2.3
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
New Zealand
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
2.5 / 1.0
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win China vs New Zealand?
New Zealand is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is China's current form?
China have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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