Match Analysis

EcuadorvsBolivia

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

47%
25%
28%
Ecuador winDrawBolivia win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game0.00
0.00Avg goals scored0.00
3.00Avg goals conceded1.95
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)0–0–5

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Ecuador xG

Expected goals

1.2

Bolivia xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

10%

2–1

9%

2–0

8%

0–1

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Ecuador

Ecuador

LLWDL

PPG

0.80

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Bolivia

Bolivia

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Ecuador vs Bolivia?

Ecuador is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Ecuador's current form?

Ecuador have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Ecuador Win47%
Draw25%
Bolivia Win28%
BTTS56%
Over 2.553%