Match Analysis

FijivsNew Caledonia

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
22%
21%
Fiji winDrawNew Caledonia win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.60
1.58Avg goals scored1.01
0.92Avg goals conceded2.27
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Fiji xG

Expected goals

1.1

New Caledonia xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

2–0

9%

3–1

7%

3–0

6%

Home

Fiji

Fiji

WWWLD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

New Caledonia

New Caledonia

LLWLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fiji vs New Caledonia?

Fiji is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fiji's current form?

Fiji have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 5 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fiji Win57%
Draw22%
New Caledonia Win21%
BTTS58%
Over 2.560%