Match Analysis

FijivsPapua New Guinea

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

51%
24%
25%
Fiji winDrawPapua New Guinea win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
1.58Avg goals scored0.96
0.92Avg goals conceded1.51
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Fiji xG

Expected goals

1.1

Papua New Guinea xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–0

10%

2–1

10%

2–0

9%

0–1

7%

0–0

6%

Home

Fiji

Fiji

WWWLD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Papua New Guinea

Papua New Guinea

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fiji vs Papua New Guinea?

Fiji is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fiji's current form?

Fiji have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 5 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fiji Win51%
Draw24%
Papua New Guinea Win25%
BTTS55%
Over 2.553%