Match Analysis

IndiavsUruguay

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

18%
17%
65%
India winDrawUruguay win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.40
0.66Avg goals scored3.83
3.82Avg goals conceded1.61
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

India xG

Expected goals

2.7

Uruguay xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

1–3

8%

0–2

6%

1–1

6%

2–2

6%

0–3

5%

Home

India

India

LLDLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.7 / 3.8

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Uruguay

Uruguay

WWLLD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

3.8 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win India vs Uruguay?

Uruguay is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is India's current form?

India have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

India Win18%
Draw17%
Uruguay Win65%
BTTS70%
Over 2.578%