Match Analysis

JapanvsBrazil

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
23%
39%
Japan winDrawBrazil win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.00
2.48Avg goals scored3.07
1.00Avg goals conceded0.98
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Japan xG

Expected goals

1.7

Brazil xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–0

6%

Home

Japan

Japan

WWLDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Brazil

Brazil

WWDLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

3.1 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Japan vs Brazil?

Brazil is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Japan's current form?

Japan have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Japan Win38%
Draw23%
Brazil Win39%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%