Match Analysis

JapanvsParaguay

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
25%
34%
Japan winDrawParaguay win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.00
2.48Avg goals scored1.48
1.00Avg goals conceded0.00
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Japan xG

Expected goals

1.3

Paraguay xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

1–2

8%

2–0

7%

Home

Japan

Japan

WWLDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Paraguay

Paraguay

WWLWD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Japan vs Paraguay?

Japan is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Japan's current form?

Japan have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 2 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Japan Win41%
Draw25%
Paraguay Win34%
BTTS57%
Over 2.553%