Match Analysis

JapanvsVenezuela

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
25%
26%
Japan winDrawVenezuela win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.00
2.48Avg goals scored0.31
1.00Avg goals conceded0.62
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Japan xG

Expected goals

1.1

Venezuela xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

11%

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Japan

Japan

WWLDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Venezuela

Venezuela

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.3 / 0.6

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Japan vs Venezuela?

Japan is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Japan's current form?

Japan have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Japan Win49%
Draw25%
Venezuela Win26%
BTTS53%
Over 2.551%