Match Analysis

Kyrgyz RepublicvsLebanon

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

51%
21%
28%
Kyrgyz Republic winDrawLebanon win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.80
3.95Avg goals scored3.44
0.52Avg goals conceded1.54
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Kyrgyz Republic xG

Expected goals

1.5

Lebanon xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

1–2

6%

2–0

6%

Home

Kyrgyz Republic

Kyrgyz Republic

WWDLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

4.0 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Lebanon

Lebanon

LWLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

3.4 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Kyrgyz Republic vs Lebanon?

Kyrgyz Republic is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Kyrgyz Republic's current form?

Kyrgyz Republic have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 2 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Kyrgyz Republic Win51%
Draw21%
Lebanon Win28%
BTTS68%
Over 2.570%