Match Analysis

MaldivesvsLebanon

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

15%
17%
68%
Maldives winDrawLebanon win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.80
0.00Avg goals scored3.44
4.73Avg goals conceded1.54
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Maldives xG

Expected goals

2.7

Lebanon xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–3

8%

0–2

7%

0–3

7%

1–1

7%

0–1

5%

Home

Maldives

Maldives

LLLLW

PPG

0.60

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Lebanon

Lebanon

LWLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

3.4 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Maldives vs Lebanon?

Lebanon is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Maldives's current form?

Maldives have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Maldives Win15%
Draw17%
Lebanon Win68%
BTTS65%
Over 2.575%