Mexicovs
Chile
FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Mexico xG
Expected goals
1.5
Chile xG
57%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
0–1
9%
1–2
9%
1–0
8%
2–1
8%
0–2
7%
Home
Mexico
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.8
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Away
Chile
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Mexico vs Chile?
Chile is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Mexico's current form?
Mexico have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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