Match Analysis

MexicovsPeru

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

44%
25%
31%
Mexico winDrawPeru win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game0.40
0.47Avg goals scored0.47
1.79Avg goals conceded2.22
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Mexico xG

Expected goals

1.2

Peru xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

10%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

2–0

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Mexico

Mexico

DLDDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Peru

Peru

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.2

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mexico vs Peru?

Mexico is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Mexico's current form?

Mexico have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Mexico Win44%
Draw25%
Peru Win31%
BTTS54%
Over 2.551%