Match Analysis

MoroccovsMali

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
26%
33%
Morocco winDrawMali win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.60
1.00Avg goals scored0.50
1.00Avg goals conceded0.50
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Morocco xG

Expected goals

1.2

Mali xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

10%

0–1

9%

2–1

9%

0–0

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Morocco

Morocco

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Mali

Mali

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.5 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Morocco vs Mali?

Morocco is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Morocco's current form?

Morocco have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 2 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Morocco Win41%
Draw26%
Mali Win33%
BTTS53%
Over 2.548%