Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.5
Russia xG
Expected goals
1.2
Iran xG
64%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
9%
2–0
8%
3–1
8%
1–1
7%
1–0
6%
2–2
6%
Home
Russia
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
3.7 / 1.1
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Iran
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.5 / 2.5
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Russia vs Iran?
Russia is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Russia's current form?
Russia have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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