Match Analysis

RwandavsKenya

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
27%
33%
Rwanda winDrawKenya win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.20
0.00Avg goals scored0.00
0.00Avg goals conceded0.00
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Rwanda xG

Expected goals

1.1

Kenya xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

1–0

12%

0–1

10%

0–0

9%

2–0

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Rwanda

Rwanda

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Kenya

Kenya

DLDWD

PPG

1.20

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Rwanda vs Kenya?

Rwanda is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Rwanda's current form?

Rwanda have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 1 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Rwanda Win40%
Draw27%
Kenya Win33%
BTTS49%
Over 2.543%