Match Analysis

Sri LankavsDjibouti

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
27%
28%
Sri Lanka winDrawDjibouti win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game0.60
1.58Avg goals scored0.00
1.03Avg goals conceded0.00
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Sri Lanka xG

Expected goals

1

Djibouti xG

48%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

9%

0–1

9%

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

Home

Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka

WLWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Djibouti

Djibouti

WLLLL

PPG

0.60

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sri Lanka vs Djibouti?

Sri Lanka is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sri Lanka's current form?

Sri Lanka have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 5 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sri Lanka Win45%
Draw27%
Djibouti Win28%
BTTS48%
Over 2.543%