Match Analysis

TajikistanvsPalestine

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
23%
49%
Tajikistan winDrawPalestine win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
1.03Avg goals scored2.80
1.61Avg goals conceded0.97
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Tajikistan xG

Expected goals

1.9

Palestine xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–1

7%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

Home

Tajikistan

Tajikistan

WLLDW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Palestine

Palestine

WWDDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.8 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Tajikistan vs Palestine?

Palestine is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Tajikistan's current form?

Tajikistan have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Tajikistan Win28%
Draw23%
Palestine Win49%
BTTS64%
Over 2.564%