Match Analysis

UzbekistanvsSyria

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

55%
21%
24%
Uzbekistan winDrawSyria win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.40
2.24Avg goals scored1.00
1.37Avg goals conceded2.55
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Uzbekistan xG

Expected goals

1.3

Syria xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

1–1

9%

1–0

7%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

Home

Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan

LWWLL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Syria

Syria

LDLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Uzbekistan vs Syria?

Uzbekistan is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Uzbekistan's current form?

Uzbekistan have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Uzbekistan Win55%
Draw21%
Syria Win24%
BTTS64%
Over 2.566%