Match Analysis

VanuatuvsNew Caledonia

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
21%
23%
Vanuatu winDrawNew Caledonia win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.60
1.79Avg goals scored1.01
1.39Avg goals conceded2.27
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Vanuatu xG

Expected goals

1.3

New Caledonia xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

1–1

9%

1–0

7%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

Home

Vanuatu

Vanuatu

LWDWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

New Caledonia

New Caledonia

LLWLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Vanuatu vs New Caledonia?

Vanuatu is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Vanuatu's current form?

Vanuatu have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 5 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Vanuatu Win56%
Draw21%
New Caledonia Win23%
BTTS64%
Over 2.566%