Match Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
38%
34%
Avispa Fukuoka winDrawFagiano Okayama win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.40
1.45Avg goals scored1.01
1.49Avg goals conceded0.97
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Avispa Fukuoka xG

Expected goals

1.1

Fagiano Okayama xG

45%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

13%

01

12%

10

12%

00

11%

02

7%

12

7%

Home

Avispa Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka

LLWLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

LDWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 3 meetings

Avispa Fukuokaall timeFagiano Okayama
2D
1W
25 Apr 26
Fagiano Okayama20Avispa Fukuoka
8 Feb 26
Avispa Fukuoka11Fagiano Okayama
25 Apr 25
Avispa Fukuoka11Fagiano Okayama

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama?

Fagiano Okayama is favored with a 34% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Avispa Fukuoka's current form?

Avispa Fukuoka have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 3 J1 League meetings, Avispa Fukuoka won 0, drew 2, and Fagiano Okayama won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 3 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Avispa Fukuoka Win28%
Draw38%
Fagiano Okayama Win34%
BTTS45%
Over 2.538%

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