Match Analysis

Avispa FukuokavsFC Tokyo

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

11%
17%
72%
Avispa Fukuoka winDrawFC Tokyo win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.20
0.99Avg goals scored2.56
1.93Avg goals conceded0.35
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Avispa Fukuoka xG

Expected goals

2.4

FC Tokyo xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

12%

0–1

10%

0–3

9%

1–2

9%

1–1

8%

1–3

8%

Home

Avispa Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.6 / 0.4

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Avispa Fukuoka vs FC Tokyo?

FC Tokyo is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Avispa Fukuoka's current form?

Avispa Fukuoka have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Avispa Fukuoka Win11%
Draw17%
FC Tokyo Win72%
BTTS50%
Over 2.562%