Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka
JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.5
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected goals
1.9
Gamba Osaka xG
78%
Both Teams to Score
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
7%
2–2
7%
1–1
6%
1–2
6%
3–1
6%
3–2
6%
Home
Avispa Fukuoka
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Gamba Osaka
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.0 / 2.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 7 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka?
Avispa Fukuoka is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Avispa Fukuoka's current form?
Avispa Fukuoka have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 7 J1 League meetings, Avispa Fukuoka won 4, drew 2, and Gamba Osaka won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 78%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 7 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from J1 League