Match Analysis

Avispa FukuokavsV-Varen Nagasaki

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

32%
24%
44%
Avispa Fukuoka winDrawV-Varen Nagasaki win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.20
0.99Avg goals scored1.26
1.93Avg goals conceded1.37
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Avispa Fukuoka xG

Expected goals

1.6

V-Varen Nagasaki xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

0–1

9%

1–2

9%

0–2

7%

1–0

7%

2–1

7%

Home

Avispa Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

DWLDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

V-Varen Nagasaki is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Avispa Fukuoka's current form?

Avispa Fukuoka have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Avispa Fukuoka Win32%
Draw24%
V-Varen Nagasaki Win44%
BTTS58%
Over 2.555%