Match Analysis

Cerezo OsakavsFC Tokyo

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

13%
18%
69%
Cerezo Osaka winDrawFC Tokyo win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.20
1.10Avg goals scored2.56
1.69Avg goals conceded0.35
0–4–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Cerezo Osaka xG

Expected goals

2.2

FC Tokyo xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

11%

0–1

10%

1–2

10%

1–1

9%

0–3

8%

1–3

7%

Home

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

DDLDD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.7

Last 5

0W 4D 1L

Away

FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.6 / 0.4

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo?

FC Tokyo is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cerezo Osaka's current form?

Cerezo Osaka have recorded 0W 4D 1L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cerezo Osaka Win13%
Draw18%
FC Tokyo Win69%
BTTS53%
Over 2.560%