Match Analysis

Cerezo OsakavsJEF United Ichihara-Chiba

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
24%
33%
Cerezo Osaka winDrawJEF United Ichihara-Chiba win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game0.60
1.10Avg goals scored1.14
1.69Avg goals conceded1.80
0–4–1Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Cerezo Osaka xG

Expected goals

1.4

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–0

8%

1–2

8%

0–1

7%

2–0

6%

Home

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

DDLDD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.7

Last 5

0W 4D 1L

Away

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

DLDDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba?

Cerezo Osaka is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cerezo Osaka's current form?

Cerezo Osaka have recorded 0W 4D 1L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cerezo Osaka Win43%
Draw24%
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba Win33%
BTTS60%
Over 2.558%