Match Analysis

Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

13%
35%
52%
Cerezo Osaka winDrawKashiwa Reysol win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.40
1.26Avg goals scored2.30
1.27Avg goals conceded0.99
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Cerezo Osaka xG

Expected goals

2.1

Kashiwa Reysol xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

02

10%

12

10%

01

9%

11

9%

03

7%

13

7%

Home

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

LWLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Kashiwa Reysol

Kashiwa Reysol

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 5 meetings

Cerezo Osakaall timeKashiwa Reysol
4D
1W
20 Sep 25
Cerezo Osaka11Kashiwa Reysol
26 Feb 25
Kashiwa Reysol21Cerezo Osaka
28 Sep 24
Cerezo Osaka00Kashiwa Reysol
3 Apr 24
Kashiwa Reysol11Cerezo Osaka
12 Aug 23
Kashiwa Reysol11Cerezo Osaka

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Kashiwa Reysol is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cerezo Osaka's current form?

Cerezo Osaka have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 5 J1 League meetings, Cerezo Osaka won 0, drew 4, and Kashiwa Reysol won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 5 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Cerezo Osaka Win13%
Draw35%
Kashiwa Reysol Win52%
BTTS55%
Over 2.560%

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