Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol
JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Cerezo Osaka xG
Expected goals
2.1
Kashiwa Reysol xG
55%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
10%
1–2
10%
0–1
9%
1–1
9%
0–3
7%
1–3
7%
Home
Cerezo Osaka
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.3
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Kashiwa Reysol
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.0
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 5 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Kashiwa Reysol is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Cerezo Osaka's current form?
Cerezo Osaka have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 5 J1 League meetings, Cerezo Osaka won 0, drew 4, and Kashiwa Reysol won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 5 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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