Match Analysis

Cerezo OsakavsMito Hollyhock

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
23%
24%
Cerezo Osaka winDrawMito Hollyhock win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game0.20
1.10Avg goals scored0.72
1.69Avg goals conceded2.17
0–4–1Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Cerezo Osaka xG

Expected goals

1.1

Mito Hollyhock xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–0

10%

2–1

10%

2–0

9%

0–0

6%

0–1

6%

Home

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

DDLDD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.7

Last 5

0W 4D 1L

Away

Mito Hollyhock

Mito Hollyhock

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.7 / 2.2

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cerezo Osaka vs Mito Hollyhock?

Cerezo Osaka is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cerezo Osaka's current form?

Cerezo Osaka have recorded 0W 4D 1L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cerezo Osaka Win53%
Draw23%
Mito Hollyhock Win24%
BTTS56%
Over 2.555%