Match Analysis

Cerezo OsakavsYokohama F. Marinos

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
26%
44%
Cerezo Osaka winDrawYokohama F. Marinos win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.40
1.10Avg goals scored1.18
1.69Avg goals conceded0.88
0–4–1Record (W–D–L)1–4–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Cerezo Osaka xG

Expected goals

1.4

Yokohama F. Marinos xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

11%

1–0

9%

1–2

9%

0–0

8%

0–2

8%

Home

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

DDLDD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.7

Last 5

0W 4D 1L

Away

Yokohama F. Marinos

Yokohama F. Marinos

DDDDW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 0.9

Last 5

1W 4D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Yokohama F. Marinos is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cerezo Osaka's current form?

Cerezo Osaka have recorded 0W 4D 1L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cerezo Osaka Win30%
Draw26%
Yokohama F. Marinos Win44%
BTTS50%
Over 2.546%