Match Analysis

Fagiano OkayamavsFC Tokyo

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

15%
20%
65%
Fagiano Okayama winDrawFC Tokyo win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.20
1.22Avg goals scored2.56
1.53Avg goals conceded0.35
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Fagiano Okayama xG

Expected goals

2.1

FC Tokyo xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

11%

0–1

10%

1–2

10%

1–1

9%

0–3

8%

1–3

7%

Home

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.6 / 0.4

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo?

FC Tokyo is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fagiano Okayama's current form?

Fagiano Okayama have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fagiano Okayama Win15%
Draw20%
FC Tokyo Win65%
BTTS52%
Over 2.558%