Match Analysis

Fagiano OkayamavsKashiwa Reysol

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
22%
43%
Fagiano Okayama winDrawKashiwa Reysol win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.60
1.22Avg goals scored2.04
1.53Avg goals conceded1.65
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Fagiano Okayama xG

Expected goals

1.8

Kashiwa Reysol xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

0–2

5%

Home

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Kashiwa Reysol

Kashiwa Reysol

DWDLW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fagiano Okayama vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Kashiwa Reysol is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fagiano Okayama's current form?

Fagiano Okayama have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fagiano Okayama Win35%
Draw22%
Kashiwa Reysol Win43%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%