Match Analysis

Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

54%
18%
28%
Fagiano Okayama winDrawKyoto Sanga win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
1.01Avg goals scored1.31
0.97Avg goals conceded2.02
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Fagiano Okayama xG

Expected goals

0.9

Kyoto Sanga xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

10

13%

11

11%

20

11%

21

10%

00

7%

01

7%

Home

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

LDWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga

WLDLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings

Fagiano Okayamaall timeKyoto Sanga
2W
2W
11 Apr 26
Kyoto Sanga51Fagiano Okayama
8 Mar 26
Fagiano Okayama10Kyoto Sanga
30 Aug 25
Kyoto Sanga50Fagiano Okayama
15 Feb 25
Fagiano Okayama20Kyoto Sanga

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?

Fagiano Okayama is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fagiano Okayama's current form?

Fagiano Okayama have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Fagiano Okayama won 2, drew 0, and Kyoto Sanga won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Fagiano Okayama Win54%
Draw18%
Kyoto Sanga Win28%
BTTS49%
Over 2.548%

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