Match Analysis

Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

27%
31%
42%
Fagiano Okayama winDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.20
1.01Avg goals scored1.85
0.97Avg goals conceded0.55
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Fagiano Okayama xG

Expected goals

1.3

Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

29%

Both Teams to Score

27%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

01

21%

00

17%

02

14%

11

11%

10

8%

12

7%

Home

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

LDWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.6

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head · Last 3 meetings

Fagiano Okayamaall timeSanfrecce Hiroshima
2W
1D
2 May 26
Fagiano Okayama10Sanfrecce Hiroshima
14 Feb 26
Sanfrecce Hiroshima11Fagiano Okayama
12 Apr 25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima01Fagiano Okayama

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fagiano Okayama's current form?

Fagiano Okayama have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 3 J1 League meetings, Fagiano Okayama won 2, drew 1, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (21% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 29%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 3 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Fagiano Okayama Win27%
Draw31%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win42%
BTTS29%
Over 2.527%

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