Match Analysis

Fagiano OkayamavsShimizu S-Pulse

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

54%
22%
24%
Fagiano Okayama winDrawShimizu S-Pulse win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.60
1.22Avg goals scored0.89
1.53Avg goals conceded2.13
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Fagiano Okayama xG

Expected goals

1.2

Shimizu S-Pulse xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

2–0

8%

1–2

6%

2–2

6%

Home

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Shimizu S-Pulse

Shimizu S-Pulse

DLDWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Fagiano Okayama is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fagiano Okayama's current form?

Fagiano Okayama have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fagiano Okayama Win54%
Draw22%
Shimizu S-Pulse Win24%
BTTS59%
Over 2.560%