Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
FC Tokyo xG
Expected goals
3.6
Kashiwa Reysol xG
76%
Both Teams to Score
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–3
7%
1–2
6%
1–4
6%
0–3
5%
1–5
5%
2–3
5%
Home
FC Tokyo
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.9
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Kashiwa Reysol
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.7 / 1.3
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Fc Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Kashiwa Reysol is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Fc Tokyo's current form?
Fc Tokyo have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Fc Tokyo won 1, drew 2, and Kashiwa Reysol won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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