Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.9
FC Tokyo xG
Expected goals
1.4
Kyoto Sanga xG
71%
Both Teams to Score
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
8%
3–1
8%
1–1
6%
2–0
6%
2–2
6%
3–0
6%
Home
FC Tokyo
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Kyoto Sanga
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.3 / 2.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 5 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Fc Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga?
FC Tokyo is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Fc Tokyo's current form?
Fc Tokyo have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 5 J1 League meetings, Fc Tokyo won 2, drew 0, and Kyoto Sanga won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 5 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from J1 League