Match Analysis

Fc Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
27%
20%
FC Tokyo winDrawMito Hollyhock win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
1.79Avg goals scored1.21
1.52Avg goals conceded1.40
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

FC Tokyo xG

Expected goals

1.3

Mito Hollyhock xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

10%

21

10%

10

7%

20

7%

12

6%

22

6%

Home

FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo

WWDLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Mito Hollyhock

Mito Hollyhock

DWDLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings

Fc Tokyoall timeMito Hollyhock
1W
1D
24 Apr 26
FC Tokyo52Mito Hollyhock
14 Mar 26
Mito Hollyhock11FC Tokyo

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fc Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?

FC Tokyo is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fc Tokyo's current form?

Fc Tokyo have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 J1 League meetings, Fc Tokyo won 1, drew 1, and Mito Hollyhock won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard →

Match Odds

FC Tokyo Win53%
Draw27%
Mito Hollyhock Win20%
BTTS63%
Over 2.564%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi