Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
FC Tokyo xG
Expected goals
1.3
Mito Hollyhock xG
63%
Both Teams to Score
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
2–1
10%
1–0
7%
2–0
7%
1–2
6%
2–2
6%
Home
FC Tokyo
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Mito Hollyhock
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.4
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Fc Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?
FC Tokyo is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Fc Tokyo's current form?
Fc Tokyo have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 J1 League meetings, Fc Tokyo won 1, drew 1, and Mito Hollyhock won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from J1 League