Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.3
FC Tokyo xG
Expected goals
1.8
Nagoya Grampus xG
75%
Both Teams to Score
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
8%
1–1
7%
2–2
7%
1–2
6%
3–1
6%
3–2
5%
Home
FC Tokyo
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Nagoya Grampus
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Fc Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus?
FC Tokyo is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Fc Tokyo's current form?
Fc Tokyo have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Fc Tokyo won 2, drew 1, and Nagoya Grampus won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 75%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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