Match Analysis

FC TokyovsSanfrecce Hiroshima

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

54%
22%
24%
FC Tokyo winDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game2.00
2.56Avg goals scored2.38
0.35Avg goals conceded0.91
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

FC Tokyo xG

Expected goals

1.2

Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

2–0

8%

1–2

6%

2–2

6%

Home

FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.6 / 0.4

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.4 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

FC Tokyo is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is FC Tokyo's current form?

FC Tokyo have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

FC Tokyo Win54%
Draw22%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win24%
BTTS59%
Over 2.560%