Fc Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds
JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.7
FC Tokyo xG
Expected goals
1.9
Urawa Red Diamonds xG
83%
Both Teams to Score
92%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–1
6%
3–2
6%
2–1
5%
2–2
5%
4–1
5%
4–2
5%
Home
FC Tokyo
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Urawa Red Diamonds
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.7 / 2.5
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Head-to-Head · Last 5 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Fc Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds?
FC Tokyo is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Fc Tokyo's current form?
Fc Tokyo have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 5 J1 League meetings, Fc Tokyo won 2, drew 2, and Urawa Red Diamonds won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 83%. Over 2.5 goals: 92%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 5 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from J1 League