Match Analysis

Fc Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

63%
20%
17%
FC Tokyo winDrawUrawa Red Diamonds win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.60
1.79Avg goals scored1.72
1.52Avg goals conceded2.51
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.7

FC Tokyo xG

Expected goals

1.9

Urawa Red Diamonds xG

83%

Both Teams to Score

92%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

31

6%

32

6%

21

5%

22

5%

41

5%

42

5%

Home

FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo

WWDLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Urawa Red Diamonds

Urawa Red Diamonds

WLLLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 2.5

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head · Last 5 meetings

Fc Tokyoall timeUrawa Red Diamonds
2W
2D
1W
16 May 26
Urawa Red Diamonds00FC Tokyo
14 Feb 26
FC Tokyo11Urawa Red Diamonds
17 May 25
Urawa Red Diamonds32FC Tokyo
21 Sep 24
Urawa Red Diamonds02FC Tokyo
3 Apr 24
FC Tokyo21Urawa Red Diamonds

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fc Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

FC Tokyo is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fc Tokyo's current form?

Fc Tokyo have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.7.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 5 J1 League meetings, Fc Tokyo won 2, drew 2, and Urawa Red Diamonds won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 83%. Over 2.5 goals: 92%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 5 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard →

Match Odds

FC Tokyo Win63%
Draw20%
Urawa Red Diamonds Win17%
BTTS83%
Over 2.592%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi