Match Analysis

Gamba OsakavsFagiano Okayama

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
24%
36%
Gamba Osaka winDrawFagiano Okayama win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.80
1.20Avg goals scored1.22
1.71Avg goals conceded1.53
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Gamba Osaka xG

Expected goals

1.5

Fagiano Okayama xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

2–0

6%

Home

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka

DDWDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Gamba Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?

Gamba Osaka is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Gamba Osaka's current form?

Gamba Osaka have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Gamba Osaka Win40%
Draw24%
Fagiano Okayama Win36%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%